Tom Scollon

I say current top because it could be only short term resistance.  But let’s look at a chart:

           


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 You can see that for no less than four times over the last two months we have seen the market attempt a new high but only to retreat.  The attempts are actually closer to seven.  There is nothing ominous about this.  It is more likely at this point the market will take a breather.

Volume is still strong:

            


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So I would expect that at worst – for the moment – the market may just ease rather than fall apart.

This is typical at the top of a market phase.

On a weekly chart we can see that the market is also sort of topping out:

             


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The monthly chart suggests some easing will eventually come:

            


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The weekly chart on the DOW suggest similarly:



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It is a sort of truism – ‘what goes up’ mostly ‘comes down’. 

But ‘the when’ is the bigger question.

 

Enjoy the ride

Tom Scollon