Tom Scollon


It appears the oz market will finish in the black for August – I write this on Friday evening – but the market is looking like it needs a breather.


Firstly, the XAO:


All Ordinaries (XAO:ASX) Daily Line Chart


Click to Enlarge



You can see that it is still at June levels and so the market could be categorised as range trading. We have seen a number of ABC patterns over the last few weeks and now we see a wave five high in the making. It could be all but over but we not doubt the markets ever and we could see a new second wave five show up.


A quick overview of key sectors:


Financials are flatlining:

 

S&P ASX 200 Financials (XFJ:ASX) Daily Line Chart


Click to Enlarge



Energy flat lining down:


S&P ASX 200 Energy  (XEJ:ASX) Daily Line Chart


Click to Enlarge



Industrials range trading and showing little impetus: 


S&P ASX 200 Industrials (XNJ:ASX) Daily Line Chart


Click to Enlarge



Consumer staples actually heading south but could offer some good short-term trades:


S&P ASX Consumer Staples (XSJ:ASX) Daily Line Chart


Click to Enlarge

 
Consumer Discretionary are defying logic and rising:

S&P ASX Consumer Discretionary (XDJ:ASX) Daily Line Chart


Click to Enlarge

 

And Materials have run out of steam:


S&P ASX Materials (XMJ:ASX) Daily Line Chart


Click to Enlarge


I always ask myself the simple question “would I buy now?”.

The answer is no.

The risk is to the Downside. 

 

 

 

Enjoy the ride

Tom Scollon