John Jeffery

The ultimate challenge for any investor is to be able to skilfully combine both technical and fundamental data.

The most important question on the lips of traders and investors across the globe is, quite simply, “When will we see an end to the turmoil?”.

The majority of analysis conducted thus far regarding US bonds has been undertaken on the 30 year part of the curve.

After a few weeks of emotional extremes in the financial markets it is time to reflect on the US economic picture. There are some positive signs.

As the New Year gets under way, uncertainty continues to hold sway throughout the asset classes.

My recent articles have been focused on the US bond markets and how the prevailing interest rate direction will affect mortgages as well as the continuing threat of the sub-prime credit crunch.

Volume indicators are often used to confirm the validity of price movement.

Bonds are debt instruments that pay owners semi-annual interest payments.

I’m still a bear in the US. In an article I wrote some weeks back I mentioned that the US bond market was pointing to about a 50/50 chance of recession next year in the US.

If you’d asked about the market this time last year, the consensus would have been “bullish”.