Articles for: Elliott Analysis

Back in March when the markets took off there were many reasons to believe markets globally could have fallen much further. So few investors got on board as risks were still high. Many traders – short term players – may have taken some positions but few would have been fully invested. Well done if you picked the low.

Two names synonymous with Technical Analysis are Gann and Elliott, each having their die hard followers. As in many walks of life, people claim their area of study to be the best. Just look at diets, martial arts, weight loss programs or anything related to some kind of personal improvement. Practitioners of each style or method claim theirs is the best, hands down. The funny thing is most work in a similar manner to the same end. Trading in many ways is no different. I am a fan of the saying, “If it works use it!!”

Many commodities and currencies have experienced steep increases in recent months. Oil is up almost 100%, copper over 80% and the Aussie 30%. So is it time to start shorting?

Banking executives, fund managers, investors, retirees watched a little nervously early this week as the short selling ban on Australian local banks was lifted. Was an avalanche about to happen?

How can it be? I speak here of GTP. They have gone into administration in the last few days. Administration is like Chapter 11 in the USA – it is a last gasp before the final blow is dealt. It happens generally because a company has significantly more debtors than it has cash. This happens because usually its model or management or a combo of both is flawed. And for shareholders and lenders it is like throwing more good money after bad and one day comes when financiers say enough is enough.

I can’t consider any stock or future without first looking at a chart – so let’s get straight to it – a simple unadulterated daily line chart:

Everything is rosy in the garden and that is nice. But my cautious head has been asking are markets getting a little carried away? You see, economically things will get a lot worse before they get better and what the punters are banking on is that this is the beginning of the new world.