Articles for: Australia

There are always a few common mistakes that are made when implementing a trading system. These range from excessive positive expectation leading to over leverage all the way to a lack of preparation and system testing. Indeed, often the actual system itself leaves a lot to be desired in terms of the logic that supports it and the market conditions it is implemented through. In this article we will look at a method of back testing and some important components to be considered in developing a trading method.

As I search to fathom out the melee of the last couple of weeks I try and contemplate likely scenarios. I say likely as to talk of just possible scenarios is really just sitting on the fence and I am not good at that. Nor can I say I am good at picking short term moves. I say ‘moves’ as I am inclined to think a short term ‘trend’ is almost a contradiction of terms. I do not aspire to pick the short term moves but only to understand them as a foundation to at least the medium term move ahead.